Thursday, October 7, 2010

Best and Worst of the NFL - Week 5

Let's call it Opposite Day!  It's easy to call the Lions and the Bills the worst teams in the league and it's easy to name the Saints, the Steelers, and the Packers the most talented, but what about the worst of the best and the best of the worst?  Now, that's fun!

BEST team with 1 win: Dallas Cowboys
The Vikings are a very close second here, but the Cowboys we all saw in the first two weeks won't show its face again.

WORST team with 3 wins: Chicago Bears
Even with Jay Cutler, the Bears have some major issues...and now they don't even have him.

BEST team without a win: San Francisco 49ers
Almost went with the Panthers here, but the 49ers just have too much talent to keep this losing streak - plus, they get to play every team in the NFC West...twice.

WORST team with 2 wins: Arizona Cardinals
Take your pick of first-place teams in the NFC West - Seattle, St. Louis, and Arizona all aren't getting it done, but the Cardinals have the most question marks.

BEST team with 2 wins: Indianapolis Colts
This one was easy.  Peyton Manning will bring this team back from their temporary lull.

Some notes on the upcoming games for the above teams:
  • The Cardinals will have a very tough time with the Saints this weekend starting an undrafted rookie in Max Hall at quarterback.  This will definitely test the resolve of Arizona's struggling defense.
  • Who would have thought that the Chiefs would be the undefeated of the two teams in the Colts-Chiefs matchup (and the Colts at just .500).  Incredible.
  • Dallas-Tennessee should be a great matchup, but if the Titans aren't careful, I could see Romo ripping them up after beating a very good Houston team.
  • The Bears are last in rushing and allowed double-digit sacks last week - not good when going up against an angry Panthers team that needs to play well as not to get booed out of their own stadium.
  • The football Gods have taken pity on the 49ers by making Kevin Kolb the starter in this game.  Vick would have given them fits.  Instead, I think they come out the victors here.

Saturday, October 2, 2010

NCAA Football 2010: Week 5 Predictions

It's been awhile.  Okay, it's been longer than awhile.  But have no fear, I have only become wiser over the last year, whch means even better predictions (I hope).

So, without further ado!

#7 Florida at #1 Alabama - 8:00pm ET
Wow, we only had to wait 5 weeks for what could be a December Championship matchup.  Nice.  Strap in, boys and girls - this will be a bruiser.  Even though Alabama is coming off an emotional and physical matchup with Arkansas (and Florida conversely is not), the Tide still has too much all-around skill and discipline.  This game comes down to execution and nobody has his team execute when it matters better than Nick "I'll never be Bear Bryant but I'm a pretty damn close second" Saban.
Crimson Tide 24 - Gators 23

#2 Ohio State at Illinois - 12:00pm ET
Conference play finally starts in the Big Ten (thank goodness - au revoir, Eastern Michigan and Austin Peay) and it's not a good thing for the Illini.  Ohio State is the best in the land at forcing turnovers on defense and has arguably the hardest quarterback to gameplan for on offense.  This game shouldn't be close.
Buckeyes 32 - Fighting Illini 10

#3 Boise State at New Mexico State - 8:00pm ET
For the record, I am NOT on the Boise State train.  I still think the best thing to come out of that state is the potato.  If you've ever criticized Ohio State or Florida for plaing cupcakes, then I better hear you yelling for the next 12 weeks, because the Broncos have a BUNCH of them.  Boo to Virginia Tech and Oregon State for being less-than-platinum.  Let's pray Nevada stays healthy over the coming weeks.
Broncos 52 - Aggies 10

#9 Stanford at #4 Oregon - 8:00pm ET
When do you know college football has truly begun?  When your remote never leaves your hand because your flipping between three games at once.  Gotta love this matchup - the smart, bruising style of Jim Harbaugh vs. the speedy, opportunistic Chip Kelly.  Could go either way, but I think Oregon cleans up their act after a questionable performance against a better-than-advertised Arizona State team.
Ducks 38 - Cardinals 32

#5 TCU at Colorado State - 2:00pm ET
Ummm....not close.  TCU is good.  Colorado State is not good.
Horned Frogs 45 - Rams 13

#21 Texas at #8 Oklahoma - 3:30pm ET
The Red River Rivalry is not what it could have been due to a very poor performance last week from both teams (Oklahoma barely escaping against a down Cincinnati team and Texas getting slaughtered by a middle-of-the-road Pac-10 team in UCLA).  Oklahoma still has a chance at a National Title and I think that motivation takes over in this game.  Texas keeps it close, but drops to 3-2.
Sooners 32 - Longhorns 29

LA Monroe at #10 Auburn - 12:00pm ET
I'd like to say that this is a scare-game for Auburn, but it's not.  Cam Newton could hand the ball off 55 times and win this game big (and should).
Tigers 31 - Warhawks 3

#11 Wisconsin at #24 Michigan State - 3:30pm ET
One of the best matchups of the week on paper.  And that's saying a lot with Penn State-Iowa also on the slate.  I have watched Wisconsin struggle in every game except against Austin Peay last week and I think that finally catches up with them.  Michigan State wins a big one for their recovering coach and Greg Jones continues to make his case for Defensive Player of the Year by stopping John Clay cold.
Spartans 23 - Wisconsin 21

Tennessee at #12 LSU - 3:30pm ET
How in the world is LSU the 12th best team in the country?  Their defense has been just okay against very mediocre competition and if their not careful, a Tennessee team that has absolutely nothing to lose could beat them here.  I'll go high risk, high reward and say Les Miles gets embarrassed in his own backyard against fans that have been known to call for his head after big losses.
Volunteers 24 - Tigers 16

#16 Miami at Clemson - 12:00pm ET
Clemson could easily take this game if Jacory Harris continues his loose demeanor with the ball (namely, handing it to his opponents), but I think Miami will come out fired up, knowing this is a bit of a scare game.  Finally, their talent shows, they execute, and Harris gets some support from his mistake-prone wide receivers.
Hurricanes 34 - Tigers 17

#22 Penn State at #17 Iowa - 8:05pm ET
If only because everyone in the country is counting Penn State out of this game, I feel like I should go with the Nittany Lions.  But I'm not.  I'm going with the rest of the country.  Iowa is much better than they played in Arizona and they'll play better tonight at home.
Hawkeyes 27 - Nittany Lions 20

Washington at #18 USC - 8:00pm ET
When was the last time USC was 4-0 and NOT in the top 10?  I don't know (because I don't have a stat team to track it down for me), but it would have been unheard of in the last few years.  If you don't think those sanctions are having a media-effect, your not living in reality.  Doesn't matter in this game, though, because the Huskies are terrible (sorry Mr. Locker).
Trojans 41 - Huskies 28

#19 Michigan at Indiana - 3:30pm ET
I don't think I've EVER seen Heisman hype gain momentum as fast as it has for Denard Robinson.  I wonder if "hype" ties it's shoelaces...I'll I know is if this guy stays healthy, the Big Ten is better from top to bottom and "The Game" could be competitive this year (and those are both good things for college football).  Indiana can definitely score and should give the Wolverines a run for their money, but a healthy Robinson is just too good and won't be stopped again this week.
Wolverines 38 - Hoosiers 34

Virginia Tech at #23 North Carolina State - 3:30pm ET
Wow, has the ACC been more irrelevant than right now?  The answer is no.  At least, not in recent history.  I'd like to see Virginia Tech lose every game the rest of the season solely so Boise State has less of a case, but that's not realistic and I think North Carolina State finally gets what's coming to them.  Like Pizza the Hutt in SpaceBalls, the ACC continues to eat itself until it no longer exists.
Hokies 23 - Wolfpack 21

#25 Nevada at UNLV - 10:00pm ET
GOOOOOO Wolf Pack!  Who wouldn't love to see Nevada clear their slate and go undefeated?  It would mean Boise State has lost and we can stop using the words Championship and Broncos in the same sentence.  That's enough for me.  I'm going to go buy some Nevada-blue pom-poms.
Wolf Pack 38 - Rebels 17

Friday, August 7, 2009

Arizona Cardinals 2009 Red and White Practice LIVE




For the entire play-by-play transcript for the "Red and White" game and links to some other Cardinals training camp articles:
Arizona Cardinals Examiner

Wednesday, July 8, 2009

How the Arizona Cardinals match-up with: the Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 1 - @Jacksonville, Jacksonville Stadium
Sunday, Sept. 20th, 1:00 PM, FOX

All-time series: Jacksonville 2 - Arizona 0
Last 10 games: Jacksonville 2 - Arizona 0

Interesting Stat: In two games, Jacksonville has outscored Arizona 68-27

Quarterback
Jaguars - Let's just say that if David Garrard gets injured for any amount of time, the Jags are in big trouble. After releasing Cleo Lemon so they didn't have to pay a back-up quarterback $3 million a year to ride the pine, the Jaguars were left with, well, nothing. Todd Boeckman didn't even play that much in college, nonetheless the pros, and Todd Bouman is 106 years old. To make matters worse, Garrard's not even all that good.
Cardinals - If you ask me if I want Garrard or Warner, I pick Warner. If you ask me if I want Garrard or Leinart, I pick Leinart.
Edge: Cardinals, because their back-up is better than the Jags starter.

Running Back
Jaguars - Much like the quarterback position, the Jaguars are sparse at running back. This being the first year in a good while that the Jacksonville fans won't be able to see Fred Taylor on the field, Maurice Jones-Drew will have to become a 30-carry back for the first time as well. The question then becomes, "Can he do it?" I think he can, but as is the case with most shared-carry backs that move into the featured roll, I expect his production (per carry) to go down. If a solid back-up can be found in rookie Rashad Jennings, Alvin Pearman, or Chauncey Washington, there is a chance the run game won't suffer the loss of Taylor too much...but don't count on it.
Cardinals - "Lean" and "Mean," Tim Hightower and Chris "Beanie" Wells. have huge potential, but as you will hear me reiterate again and again before the season starts, they are wholly unproven. Potential in no way equals production and I cannot in good objective standards annoint them...yet.
Edge: Jaguars, if Maurice Jones-Drew stays healthy.

Wide Receiver
Jaguars - Another trouble area for the Jaguars, although landing veteran Torry Holt does help matters at least. Without Holt, this write-up would be very easy: they're bad. However, there is a lot of youth here, and like the Cardinals run game, has a lot of potential. Reggie Williams is solid, but not mind-blowing (he didn't have over 55 yards in any game last year); Mike Thomas was a stud at the University of Arizona and should see playing time quickly if he pays attention in training camp; the other Mike, Mike Walker, had some games last year that looked promising, so he could easily become Garrard's second or third option; and the rest will be figured out in the pre-season, with the young receivers battling it out (all with a chance to play).
Cardinals - This comparison is kind of sad, really. I mean, c'mon, Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin, and Steve Breaston vs. Holt, Williams, and Thomas? Let's just say that if you add all the receiving yards of the wide receivers currently on the Jaguars roster (not counting Jones-Drew, a running back), it is less than Larry Fitzgerald or Anquan Boldin by themselves.
Edge: Cardinals, with no explanation needed.

(continued)

For the rest of the article, go to: http://www.examiner.com/examiner/x-15203-Arizona-Cardinals-Examiner~y2009m7d8-How-the-Arizona-Cardinals-matchup-with-the-Jacksonville-Jaguars

Krag Klages is the Arizona Cardinals Examiner

How do the Arizona Cardinals Matchup with: the San Francisco 49ers

Week 1 - @Arizona, University of Phoenix Stadium
Sunday, Sept. 13th, 4:15 PM, FOX

Week 14 - @San Francisco, Candlestick Park
Monday, Dec. 14th, 8:30 PM, ESPN *Monday Night Football

All-time series: San Francisco 19 - Arizona 16Last 10 games: Arizona 6 - San Francisco 4
Interesting Stat: 4 out of last 12 games have gone into overtime

Quarterback
49ers - Another quarterback battle is in store for a team that desperately needs a leader. It really comes down to the returning starter, Shaun Hill, and the 2005 number-one draft pick, Alex Smith. If history is any indication where this is going, Shaun Hill will come out of this thing the victor, expecially with Singletary's love for the blue-collar type quarterback.
Cardinals - No brainer, here. Apart from any injury set-backs (which is a possibility, even in the pre-season), Kurt Warner will be the starting quarterback for the Cardinals. Sorry, Leinart, you've got at least another year of waiting.
Edge: Cardinals, by a mile.

Running Back
49ers - Frank Gore is an outstanding back and the new rookies, Glen Coffee (Alabama) and Kory Sheets (Purdue), could be two great additions to what has been a one-man show. That said, if the offensive line doesn't create better opportunities, it doesn't matter who's behind them.
Cardinals - "Beanie" Wells dropping to #31 in the draft was just one more indication that the winds are changing for the Arizona Cardinals. They needed a big, bruising running back more than anything else and they think they've found it in Wells. Paired together with the speedy edge-rusher, Tim Hightower, the Cardinals could quite possibly have the next great tandem in the NFL. Tim Hightower and "Beanie" Wells - I shall from here on out call them "Lean" and "Mean," respectively.
Edge: 49ers, as the Cardinals are too young and unproven.

Wide Receiver
49ers - This receiving corps is a couple of veterans (Arnaz Battle and Isaac Bruce) followed by a bunch of babies, albeit a bunch of very talented babies. Whoever ends up at quarterback better be able to get rid of the ball fast and on target, because these guys can catch and these guys can run. Michael Crabtree needs to prove himself in the NFL before I start comparing him to Larry Fitzgerald like many other media pundits, but even I can admit that his potential is unmatched at his age.
Cardinals - It's too bad for the 49ers that the Cardinals have the best wide receiving corps in the country, because the 49ers are pretty solid themselves. But, alas, Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin make up the best one-two punch in football, hands-down.
Edge: Cardinals, but not by as much as you might think.

(continued)

To read the rest of this article, go to: http://www.examiner.com/x-15203-Arizona-Cardinals-Examiner~y2009m7d6-How-do-the-Arizona-Cardinals-matchup-with-the-San-Francisco-49ers

Krag Klages is the Arizona Cardinals Examiner

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Monday, June 22, 2009

Cardinals Training Camp Schedule - 2009

Thanks to azCardinals.com for this bit of insight - it is the current training camp schedule for the Cardinals this summer:

Friday, 7/31/09
9:05-10:30 AM
3:05-5:05 PM

Saturday, 8/1/09
3:05-5:05 PM

Sunday, 8/2/09
3:05-5:05 PM

Monday, 8/3/09
9:05-10:30 AM
3:05-5:05 PM

Tuesday, 8/4/09
3:05-5:05 PM

Wednesday, 8/5/09
9:05-10:30 AM
7:05-9:10 PM (Lumberjack Stadium)

Thursday, 8/6/09
3:05-5:05 PM

Friday, 8/7/09
9:05-10:30 AM
3:05-5:05 PM

Saturday, 8/8/09
11:30-1:20 PM

Monday, 8/10/09
9:05-10:30 AM
3:05-5:05 PM

Tuesday, 8/11/09
3:05-5:05 PM

Wednesday, 8/12/09
7:30-8:30 AM (Walk Thru)

Sunday, 8/16/09
4:15-5:30 PM

Monday, 8/17/09
3:05-5:05 PM

Tuesday, 8/18/09
9:05-10:30 AM
7:05-9:10 PM (Lumberjack Stadium)

Wednesday, 8/19/09
3:05-5:05 PM

Thursday, 8/20/09
9:05-10:30 AM

Starting almost a week later than last year and ending one day earlier, the workout is a bit shorter, but there are still plenty of opportunities to go see your beloved Cardinals in beautiful and temperate Flagstaff, AZ.

Friday, June 19, 2009

Cardinals Sign 4th Round Pick Toler

The Cardinals have confirmed that they have signed their fourth-round pick from St. Paul's College, cornerback Greg Toler.

Toler's story is one of a lot of obstacles and strife, but he has overcome all adversity to end up here: a 3-year, $1.5 million deal, with a $316,000 signing bonus. Good for him.

Toler comes into a great situation with Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Bryant McFadden in the secondary and should be able to learn quickly and contribute fairly early. It still might be a year before he has a consistent impact, but when he develops, putting him next to DRC and McFadden should have teams a little more worried about throwing the ball against the Cardinals.

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

A Quick Look at the Arizona Cardinals 2009 NFL Draft Picks

Here’s a quick breakdown of the Cardinals’ eight 2009 Draft Picks and their possible impact:

RB Chris “Beanie” Wells – The big, bruising Ohio State running back has had some injury problems through college, but if stays healthy, he could be the next great back in the NFL.

OLB Cody Brown – Brown is a solid outside pass rusher, which is exactly what the Cardinals were looking for with this pick. If he works on his mobility and getting around blocks, he could have an impact earlier than expected.

S Rashad Johnson – This Alabama Safety could definitely see playing time this year if he bulks up. His ability is unmatched at the position, but he needs to get bigger to compete with NFL wide receivers.

CB Gregory Toler – This little-known player out of tiny St. Paul’s College was overlooked by everyone in the draft, but his story is one of overcoming obstacles and he could end up being a great cornerback. Give Toler a year or two.

OG Herman Johnson – If Johnson keeps his weight in check (he is on record as the biggest player in LSU football history) and works on his mobility (I repeat, he is a BIG boy), he could be a very solid blocker for a sometimes-lacking Cardinals offensive line.

DE Will Davis – With the Cardinals' depth at this position, look for Davis to be more of a developmental project. Good upside, but needs work.

RB LaRod Stephens-Howling – The sleeper of the entire draft, the Cardinals love LaRod’s upside (and his speed) – look for him to make an immediate impact on special teams.

OG Trevor Canfield – A pick-and-pray draft pick, Canfield will be a total bust or an amazing value. Then again, the offensive line can use anyone at this point.

Monday, June 15, 2009

Friday, May 29, 2009

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

NCAA Graduation Success Rates by Sport

While reading an as-usual-funny article by ESPN's TMQ (Tuesday Morning Quarterback), I stumbled upon a link to the NCAA's athletic GSR's (Graduation Success Rates) . I thought, for fun, I'd publish the men's graduation rates here, from top sport to last:

Sport GSR
Lacrosse 88
Water Polo 87
Fencing 86
Gymnastics 86
Ice Hockey 83
Swimming 83
Tennis 83
Volleyball 83
Skiing 82
Rifle 80
Golf 79
Soccer 79
CC/Track 74
Wrestling 72
Baseball 68
Football(FBS) 67
Football(FCS) 65
Basketball 62

Not so surprisingly, Baseball, football, and basketball are dead last, I think mainly because so many of these athletes graduate early to go into the professional realms. What did surprise me was that the FCS colleges, formerly Division II, had such a low rate since most of these players do not go into the NFL. I would be curious to hear what people think of that anomaly.

A little surprising, on the positive side, was that the ice hockey GSR's were so high. Different from the powerhouse counterparts, hockey players obviously are staying in school longer. This may have something to do with the level of competition and how difficult it is to make it into the NHL.

Any other thoughts from people are certainly welcomed. And sorry I haven't posted in so long.

Monday, March 9, 2009

What Should the Super Bowl Cardinals Do Next?

Okay, so the Cardinals have signed Warner...Check. They have gotten a new shut-down cornerback in McFadden from the Steelers...Check. So what should happen next? What is the future of Boldin? Who should they go after in the draft?

Here's what they OUGHT to do:

1. The Kansas City Chiefs filled a HUGE need at quarterback by paying for Matt Cassel (smart move, KC), so the next logical step is to get Cassel a receiver to throw to.

Anquan Boldin enter stage right.

The Cardinals should trade the unhappy Boldin to the Chiefs for this year's first AND third round picks. Now, the Cardinals' first three rounds looks like this:

Round 1 - #3 Pick
Round 1 - #31 Pick
Round 2 - #63 Pick
Round 3 - #67 Pick
Round 3 - #95 Pick

2. They can get TWO huge needs in the first round instead of settling for later, less-worthy draft-picks. My suggestions would be to take Aaron Curry, DB from Wake Forest with the #3 pick and Donald Brown, RB from Connecticut with the #31 pick.

Get a not-so-bad tight-end with #63 or #67 and grab value-players with the other two. Done.

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Kurt Warner Has Outlasted the AFL

Here's an interesting timeline:

1971 - Kurt Warner is born
1987 - The AFL begins
1995 - The Iowa Barnstormers are added to the AFL
1995 - Kurt Warner signs a contract with the Iowa Barnstormers
1997 - Kurt Warner makes AFL history as one of the best AFL quarterbacks to date
1998 - Kurt Warner signs a contract with the St. Louis Rams
1999 - Kurt Warner achieves NFL MVP, Super Bowl MVP, and a Super Bowl Ring
2001 - Kurt Warner is named NFL MVP
2009 - AFL season cancelled
2009 - Kurt Warner plays in NFC Championship game (and possibly the Super Bowl)

Kurt Warner has officially outlasted the AFL.

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

John Wooden Quote of the Day

"Be more concerned with your character than your reputation, because your character is what you really are, while your reputation is merely what others think you are."

-John Wooden (1910-Present)

Saturday, January 10, 2009

The Biggest Rivalries in College Sports

Before I even begin, let me get this part out of the way: I will forget/omit/leave out/ignore/not care about/miss some rivalries, by accident or on purpose. That's the nature of these lists and exactly what prompts discussion. That said, if you think there's one I've missed, definitely leave your comment, but don't get all riled up about it...Simply leave your comment, with your argument as to why, and be ready for someone else to tell you why you're wrong.

Secondly, I have not decided on a certain total number (like Top 10 or Top 20) and we'll see how long it goes, but they ARE ranked in order of most storied/most hated/most traditioned/most whatever I decide. Because there are so many ways to measure this sort of generalized topic, I have no real metric (or conglomeration of metrics) that I am using...just my own intuition and opinion, so once again, you are welcome to let me know where I've gone wrong.

Now, without further ado, the list...

1. Duke-North Carolina (basketball) - This rivalry is so big, I'm guessing someone from North Carolina will come on here mad because I've written Duke first (and some Duke fan will use that fact to support his argument of Blue Devil superiority). It is certainly the most bitter in-state rivalry ever known.

2. Ohio State-Michigan (football) - If you disagree with me on this one, read "The Ten Year War," by Joel Pennington and then tell me it isn't the most heated rivalry in college football. At one point, in 1968, #2 Ohio State scored a touchdown against #4 Michigan late in the fourth quarter to go up 50-14 and Woody Hayes sent his team onto the field to go for TWO points. Michigan was obviously furious and after the game, when Woody was asked why he did it, he famously replied, "Because I couldn't go for three." Now that's cold...

3. Alabama-Auburn (football and baseball) - After the first two rivalries, the list gets tight, but the hatred between these two schools is palpable before gameday. This is one of the experiences on my checklist-for-life...I've heard of wars more amicable than this.

4. Army-Navy (football) - Not only is this one of the most storied rivalries in football, but the series is almost dead even, which just adds to the tradition of this great game. Plus, Lee Corso LOVES this game and who can argue with Lee Corso!

5. Harvard-Yale (football and rowing) - Okay, the rowing part is kind of a joke (although it IS officially the oldest collegiate athletic competition), but the football part is not. This is the third-oldest football game ever played and is still a bloody battle on the field. I don't think there's a series with more 6-3 finals in all of college football, which means defense (and vicious hitting) rules the day more often than not. It's know as "The Game" for goodness sake.

6. Minnesota-Wisconsin (hockey) - It's hard to put any hockey rivalry ahead of most football and basketball matchups simply because of the sport's more limited fanbase, but if there is one, this is it. These two teams have been playing each other a long time and have hated each other just as long. If you want to see the best hockey game ever played, watch this game every year. And if that doesn't convince you, check this out: Minnesota believes they lead the series 142-74-15, while Wisconsin has it down as 142-75-15...they can't even agree on their records. Also, both schools have 5 NCAA titles to their name, an even-steven tie.

7. Oklahoma-Texas (football) - The "Red River Shootout," as it is commonly known, is not called so because it is played near the Red River. In fact, the game is played in Dallas, almost exactly half-way between the two schools, making it one of the few rivalries in college sports that is played at a truly neutral location. No, it is called the "Red River Shootout" because technically, whichever team's state wins the game, well, um, they own the Red River that separates the two states for that year. I think that's bigger than a trophy...but that's just me.

8. Kentucky-Louisville (basketball) - Many rivalries occur due to location and this matchup is no different. The only two major higher learning institutions in the state, these two teams are bitter rivals. So much so, that from 1959-1983, these two teams didn't even play due to the hatred...Now that's hate. Add to that the recent Rick Petino fiasco (he coached for Kentucky and then went to Louisville) and you've got fuel for the blazing fire that rages inside the state of Kentucky.

9. Florida-Georgia (football) - I almost had this as an honorable mention, but a story that broke earlier this year made me put it back into the mix. When schools are closing due to sports, it's a big deal, and when it occurs during a regular season game, well, it's a rivalry.

That'll do it. I guess nine is the magic number. In my mind, these are in a league of their own and when I think of who might be next on my list, I can think of a boat-load that all kind of tie as "next." Hence, I think it's the top 9 and then "the rest."

For the sake of those that are left, here are some honorable mentions, this time in no particular order: Notre Dame-USC (football), USC-UCLA (football), Indiana-Purdue (basketball), Florida State-Miami (football), California-Stanford (football), Mississippi State-Ole Miss (football), and Clemson-South Carolina (football).

Friday, January 9, 2009

The Big 12 - My Question Answered

Back at the end of October, I posed a semi-rhetorical question about the Big 12. Could the Big 12 quarterbacks (and Big 12 offenses) really be THAT good, or is it possible that the Big 12 secondaries (and Big 12 defenses) are just that bad? At the time, I truly didn't have an answer to that question. But since the bowl games, I feel like I have some statistics that make the answer to that question a little clearer...Read on.

Below are the average regular season points and total yards of each Big 12 bowl-eligible team:
Oklahoma - 54.0 / 562.1
Texas Tech - 44.6 / 536.2
Texas - 43.9 / 476.4
Missouri - 43.2 / 497.5
Oklahoma State - 41.6 / 489.3
Kansas - 32.7 / 431.3
Nebraska - 36.2 / 458.3

Now, let's take a look at the points scored and total yards of each team in their bowl game:
Oklahoma vs. Florida (SEC) - 14 / 363
Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss (SEC) - 34 / 469
Texas vs. Ohio State (Big Ten) - 24 / 468
Missouri vs. Northwestern (Big Ten) - 30 / 311
Oklahoma State vs. Oregon (PAC-10) - 31 / 469
Kansas vs. Minnesota (Big Ten) - 42 / 446
Nebraska vs. Clemson (ACC) - 26 / 361

Now the difference between their averages and their bowl game performances:
Oklahoma - (-40) / (-199.1)
Texas Tech - (-10.6) / (-67.2)
Texas - (-19.9) / (-8.4)
Missouri - (-13.2) / (-186.5)
Oklahoma State - (-10.6) / (-20.3)
Kansas - +9.3 / +14.7
Nebraska - (-10.2) / (-97.3)

Every team in the Big 12 except one, when playing other top tier teams from the SEC, Big Ten, PAC-10, and ACC, fell dramatically in their offensive production.

The average drop in points was 13.6 (a HUGE double-digit decrease).
Their average drop in yards was 80.6.

You can draw your own conclusions from these stats, but as far as I'm concerned, the drop in offensive production against good teams outside the Big 12 gives far more credibility to the argument that the Big 12 defenses just simply weren't that good.

Not to take everything away from the talent that exists at quarterback in the Big 12 (because there IS talent), but I still believe Tebow got hosed out of his second Heisman because of McCoy and Bradford's inflated stats against weak secondaries.

Ksquared's Picks for the Next Round of the NFL Postseason

I have decided that this will be short and sweet so I don't embarrass myself too much...There is so much parity in the NFL anymore, any one of these teams could win the whole darn thing. Here goes nothin'...

Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans - Saturday, January 10th - 4:30 pm ET
Tennessee 13 - Baltimore 10

San Diego Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers - Sunday, January 11th - 4:45 pm ET
Pittsburgh 20 - San Diego 17

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers - Saturday, January 10th - 8:15 pm ET
Arizona 32 - Carolina 28

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants - Sunday, January 11th - 1:00 pm ET
New York 24 - Philadelphia 17

Arizona is my only true upset, but it is a biggy...

Why I picked how I did:
I like Tennessee because of the amount of time to prepare.
I like Pittsburgh because of the immense home field advantage.
I like the Cardinals because they are more motivated than any team in the playoffs.
I like New York because nobody should pick against Tom Coughlin in the postseason.

And done!

So did the BCS get it right? How about the AP?

After all was said and done, if we all take a step back and look at this thing from what we have to work with, did the BCS get it right? How about the AP poll, which doesn't necessarily have to agree with the BCS (although in this case it did)?

Here is the final AP poll:
1. Florida (48)
2. Utah (16)
3. USC (1)
4. Texas
5. Oklahoma
6. Alabama
7. TCU
8. Penn State
9. Ohio State
10. Oregon
11. Boise State
12. Texas Tech
13. Georgia
14. Mississippi
15. Virginia Tech
16. Oklahoma State
17. Cincinnati
18. Oregon State
19. Missouri
20. Iowa
21. Florida State
22. Georgia Tech
23. West Virginia
24. Michigan State
25. Brigham Young

From top-to-bottom, in my opinion, I think this is pretty darn close to how the teams stack up.

Here's my own FINAL top 25:
1. Florida
2. USC
3. Utah
4. Texas
5. Oklahoma
6. Alabama
7. Penn State
8. Ohio State
9. TCU
10. Boise State
11. Oregon
12. Texas Tech
13. Georgia
14. Mississippi
15. Oklahoma State
16. Virginia Tech
17. Cincinnati
18. LSU
19. Oregon State
20. Missouri
21. Iowa
22. Florida State
23. Georgia Tech
24. West Virginia
25. Brigham Young

Added: LSU
Dropped: Michigan State

When you really look at it, there's not a whole lot of changes. I think Georgia Tech is a good team and LSU absolutely crushed them, and seeing as LSU's schedule was one of the toughest in the country, I have them FAR above the AP. Because of LSU's addition, someone had to get kicked out and I think Michigan State is the worst of the other 25 teams. I also dropped TCU below Penn State and Ohio State. Other than that, the only other changes were flip-flopping Virginia Tech-Oklahoma State, Oregon-Boise State, and the big one, Utah-USC. This last one I struggled with, but in my mind, put those two teams on the field and USC comes out victorious.

Bottom-Line: The BCS got the National Champion right, even if it didn't get the National Title game right, but in no way does that excuse the fact that a playoff in some sort would be beneficial for the fans, the media, and the sport in general. I don't care what it is...a plus-1, a four-team system after the bowl games, an 8-team system instead of bowl games, Ksquared's new conferences and playoff system, anything! Look at the top four teams in the AP and my poll - Florida, Utah, USC, Texas...Give or take Oklahoma and you've got a pretty sweet semi-finals, no matter how you cut it.

One last note: I predicted Florida to have 446 total yards with 1 turnover, Oklahoma to have 374 yards with 2 turnovers, and Florida winning the Title. In the end, Florida had 480 total yards with 2 turnovers, Oklahoma had 363 yards with 2 turnovers, and Florida won the Title. How's that for ending the year on a high-note?

As we close out the College Football season, thank you to everyone who follows and reads this blog...You are the reason I do this, truly. Though it is obvious my first love is college football, I will find other things to write about going forward (including college recruitment and Spring games), so stay tuned!!!

Thursday, January 8, 2009

Ksquared's BCS National Championship Bowl Prediction

FINALLY!

Doesn't it seem like we've waited for a year and a day for this game!?! I'm already starting to look at recruiting classes for next year and we don't even have a National Champion in college football yet...So, without further ado...

January 8, 2009 - Fedex BCS National Championship Game - Miami, FL
#2 Florida vs. #1 Oklahoma - 8:00 pm ET
The Good: What's not to like? Two Heisman trophy quarterbacks, two explosive offenses, and two very disciplined defenses. This is the right matchup for the Championship, regardless of what you read in the media (wait, I am the media, aren't I?)...Anyhow, There aren't two more balanced teams in football and their major common denominator is leadership at quarterback, which just can't be argued. Look for a VERY physical game and a game dominated by speedy special teams play and hard-hitting defense.

The Bad: USC and Utah are left on the outside looking in...And they shouldn't be. I point especially to Rick Reilly's nicely written column about any argument against Utah being the National Champion (and the fact that there isn't one). Other than that, with the BCS being what it is, this game is the best we've g0t, which really isn't all that bad.

The Ugly Prediction: I am siding with the rest of the country on this one. Florida will make Oklahoma pay for a soft secondary and the Gator D will make enough big plays to limit Bradford to a less-than-Heisman performance. Oklahoma keeps it close with an offensive line that continues to create gaps for it's fast running backs, but special teams rules the night and Florida wins that matchup, hands-down.

Florida
Rushing: 122 yards
Passing: 324 yards
Turnovers: 1

Oklahoma
Rushing: 164 yards
Passing: 210 yards
Turnovers: 2

Florida 31 - Oklahoma 26